Issue No. 40Week ending Sunday, October 4, 2026803 episodes · 3,510 write-ups
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The Exit Playbook: Right-timing the exit

Private equity leaders examine the complex decision-making and operational discipline required to time an exit successfully in a constrained liquidity environment. The discussion explores trigger points across value creation milestones, hold-versus-sell portfolio reviews, rigorous 12-to-18-month exit diagnostics, tech and AI defensibility testing, and the debate between fixed-horizon holding versus building businesses for indefinite long-term value.

Key takeaways

  • Sending broad confidential information memorandums (CIMs) to dozens of bidders produces weak exit outcomes compared to multi-year corporate relationship building. Read more →
  • Private equity sponsors are taking exit decisions away from individual deal teams and centralizing them into dedicated review committees to accelerate distributions to paid-in capital (DPI). Read more →
  • Private equity returned barely 10% of net asset value per year to limited partners between 2020 and 2025, according to GTCR partner Michael Hollander. Read more →
  • Acquirers now subject enterprise software targets to hostile buy-side scrutiny, probing whether frontier AI models or nimble startups can replicate core features. Read more →
  • Acquirers discount bids when diligence turns into forensic accounting, even if top-line revenue and operating metrics look healthy on paper. Read more →
  • Neil Kalvelage of Centerbridge defines the exit sweet spot as the exact window where value creation milestones prove viable while tangible operational upside remains for the incoming sponsor. Read more →

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