Issue No. 40Week ending Sunday, October 4, 2026522 episodes · 2294 articles
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AI infrastructure and compute

Chase Lochmiller on AI infrastructure and compute

21 quotes from 1 episode on 20VC with Harry Stebbings, each with a timestamped link to the source.

21 quotes1 episode

The short version

Vertically integrating AI data center infrastructure allows companies to bypass severe supply chain delays and capture shifting market margins. Chase Lochmiller notes that Crusoe bypassed external vendor wait times by manufacturing power hardware in 28 weeks.

Most interesting insights

A 140-megawatt data center consumes only as much water per year as 10 single-family houses.

“One of our giant buildings in Abalene, Texas that consume, you know, it's a call it 140 megawatts of power is like what's budgeted for each of those buildings on the on the first eight buildings. They use about the same water annually as about 10 single family homes.”

Chase Lochmiller, 20VC with Harry Stebbings · October 2026 · Watch at 25:46 ↗

From Why AI Data Centers Lower Energy Costs and Save Water

Building large data centers in local communities typically drives retail energy prices down for residents.

“When you look at markets where data centers have made investments and have built big data centers, typically energy prices for communities have come down…”

Chase Lochmiller, 20VC with Harry Stebbings · October 2026 · Watch at 26:52 ↗

From Why AI Data Centers Lower Energy Costs and Save Water

Expanding key-value caches rapidly overflow on-chip high-bandwidth memory during neural network inference.

“The KV cache can get quite large and so it can expand well beyond the amount of memory you have on chip in the HBM…”

Chase Lochmiller, 20VC with Harry Stebbings · October 2026 · Watch at 51:03 ↗

From Why Memory Bottlenecks Drive AI Inference Margins

Top talking points

  1. Vertical integration captures shifting infrastructure margins

    Selling across multiple layers protects infrastructure builders from price cycles. Margins naturally move between electrical power, physical data centers, raw chips, and managed services.

    “What Crusoe is focused on doing is what we believe the opportunity is, to build an AI super major…”

    Chase Lochmiller, 20VC with Harry Stebbings · October 2026 · Watch at 37:48 ↗

    From Why Crusoe Built a $3.9B AI Super Major Model

    “Our margins are going to move around across electrical, data centers, chips, and services…”

    Chase Lochmiller, 20VC with Harry Stebbings · October 2026 · Watch at 38:50 ↗

    From Why Crusoe Built a $3.9B AI Super Major Model

    “There's really three products that we ultimately sell to customers where we're making money…”

    Chase Lochmiller, 20VC with Harry Stebbings · October 2026 · Watch at 0:40 ↗

    From Why Crusoe Built a $3.9B AI Super Major Model

  2. Internal manufacturing cuts construction timelines

    Relying on external supply chains causes extreme delays for large compute facilities. Producing electrical distribution centers internally allowed builders to reduce wait times from 100 weeks down to 28 weeks.

    “The supply chain to support large scale AI data centers is sort of like a game of whack-a-mole…”

    Chase Lochmiller, 20VC with Harry Stebbings · October 2026 · Watch at 17:22 ↗

    From Crusoe Cut Power Center Lead Times from 100 Weeks to 28

    “When we set out to build the first two buildings in Abilene, the first it was a little over 200 megawatts of compute capacity, we had sort of committed to doing this in one year and the next closest bid was 2 and 1/2 years…”

    Chase Lochmiller, 20VC with Harry Stebbings · October 2026 · Watch at 17:44 ↗

    From Crusoe Cut Power Center Lead Times from 100 Weeks to 28

    “We said how quickly could we make this ourselves…”

    Chase Lochmiller, 20VC with Harry Stebbings · October 2026 · Watch at 18:46 ↗

    From Crusoe Cut Power Center Lead Times from 100 Weeks to 28

  3. Bureaucracy halts 50% of planned data centers

    Securing large load interconnection agreements with local utilities and obtaining air permits for new power generation create multi-year hurdles. These friction points will prevent an estimated 50% of announced facilities from opening.

    “We've seen very prominent people say, 'Oh, we expect 50% of data centers that are planned not actually to be built and ready to go.' What percent of data centers do you think that are planned will not actually go online? 50% seems reasonable.”

    Chase Lochmiller, 20VC with Harry Stebbings · October 2026 · Watch at 29:23 ↗

    From Why 50% of Planned AI Data Centers Will Never Open

    “…getting a large load interconnection agreement done with the local utility…”

    Chase Lochmiller, 20VC with Harry Stebbings · October 2026 · Watch at 30:15 ↗

    From Why 50% of Planned AI Data Centers Will Never Open

    “…getting an air permit if you're bringing online new generation.”

    Chase Lochmiller, 20VC with Harry Stebbings · October 2026 · Watch at 30:20 ↗

    From Why 50% of Planned AI Data Centers Will Never Open

9 more quotes from Chase Lochmiller

“Elon has this very interesting framing of this…”

Chase Lochmiller, 20VC with Harry Stebbings · October 2026 · Watch at 19:17 ↗

From Crusoe Cut Power Center Lead Times from 100 Weeks to 28

“Energy is definitely a key constraint so power that's available for compute is a key bottleneck…”

Chase Lochmiller, 20VC with Harry Stebbings · October 2026 · Watch at 21:56 ↗

From Why 50% of Planned AI Data Centers Will Never Open

“It's one of these things where, you know, kind of coming back to this notion of thinking like a mountaineer when you're going through these planning processes. A lot of things can go wrong.”

Chase Lochmiller, 20VC with Harry Stebbings · October 2026 · Watch at 29:50 ↗

From Why 50% of Planned AI Data Centers Will Never Open

“Exxon very famously doesn't hedge their oil exposure…”

Chase Lochmiller, 20VC with Harry Stebbings · October 2026 · Watch at 38:07 ↗

From Why Crusoe Built a $3.9B AI Super Major Model

“The way we depreciate the assets today is we use a six six-year depreciation cycle…”

Chase Lochmiller, 20VC with Harry Stebbings · October 2026 · Watch at 41:51 ↗

From Why GPU Depreciation Math Is Wrong

“When you look at that business where it abstracts away the actual underlying chip, the underlying compute from the service that people are receiving, it opens up new monetization engines that can persist for a much much longer period of time…”

Chase Lochmiller, 20VC with Harry Stebbings · October 2026 · Watch at 42:22 ↗

From Why GPU Depreciation Math Is Wrong

“Here we are 3 years later and the prices being charged for utilizing hoppers is higher than the rates that were being charged 3 years ago when they were when they were brand new…”

Chase Lochmiller, 20VC with Harry Stebbings · October 2026 · Watch at 43:40 ↗

From Why GPU Depreciation Math Is Wrong

“I think people underestimate the ingenuity of applications and application developers of turning compute capacity into value and into valuable services for the economy.”

Chase Lochmiller, 20VC with Harry Stebbings · October 2026 · Watch at 44:05 ↗

From Why GPU Depreciation Math Is Wrong

“When tokens are fed into a large neural network you can compute the output tokens by basically running this feed forward process and running all these matrix multiplications. That takes time. You may also already know the answer of that output token.”

Chase Lochmiller, 20VC with Harry Stebbings · October 2026 · Watch at 50:40 ↗

From Why Memory Bottlenecks Drive AI Inference Margins

Key takeaways from these write-ups

Why Crusoe Built a $3.9B AI Super Major Model

  • Crusoe closed a $3.9 billion Series F by modeling its compute business on vertically integrated oil super majors like Exxon and Chevron.
  • Exxon avoids commodity financial hedges because vertical integration creates a natural hedge: when wellhead prices drop, downstream refining margins expand.

Crusoe Cut Power Center Lead Times from 100 Weeks to 28

  • When Crusoe planned its Abilene site to build over 200 megawatts of compute capacity, they committed to delivering in one year while competing bids required two and a half years.
  • Vendor lead times for medium voltage power distribution centers reached 100 weeks, stalling data center construction across the market.

Why 50% of Planned AI Data Centers Will Never Open

  • Industry estimates show roughly 50% of announced AI data centers will never come online due to severe execution roadblocks.
  • Large load interconnection agreements with local utilities and air permits for new power generation create multi-year approval delays.

Why AI Data Centers Lower Energy Costs and Save Water

  • Crusoe CEO Chase Lochmiller disputes the popular claim that modern AI data centers drain local reservoirs, pointing to closed-loop liquid cooling designs.
  • A 140-megawatt Crusoe building in Abilene, Texas consumes the same annual water volume as roughly 10 single-family homes.

Why GPU Depreciation Math Is Wrong

  • Standard venture capital models write off high-end GPUs over three years, expecting rapid obsolescence to destroy their economic value.
  • Crusoe depreciates hardware on a six-year accounting schedule, matching real-world utility across changing workload types.

Why Memory Bottlenecks Drive AI Inference Margins

  • GPUs represent the single most expensive physical asset inside an AI data center; keeping compute engines idle destroys unit economics.
  • Token generation slows down during inference when systems recompute attention matrices instead of reading previously computed state.

How we attribute quotes. Every quote was matched against the episode transcript, so the words and the timestamp are real (we trim filler words like "um", nothing else). The name comes from our written summary of the episode, and we use it only when a separate check of the captions finds that person on the episode. YouTube gives us no voice-by-voice transcript, so open the timestamp to hear who is talking. See a wrong name? Tell us and we fix or remove it.

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