Insights
What the podcasts say, counted.
We keep the full transcript of every episode we summarize, 507 so far. These pages count what the shows say in those transcripts. Each page shows example quotes with a link to the exact moment, and explains how we counted.
The biggest move right now
Astra New
Astra is the name of an OpenAI model. The shows also call it GPT-6.
Astra is new to these shows. Before the four weeks to Sep 27 it was in 0 of 277 episodes. Now it is in 15 of 89 (17%), across 6 shows.
Biggest moves
The terms whose share changed the most between the earlier weeks and the newest four, strongest evidence first. The tag says whether the change is big enough to call.
- Computer use No clear trend5% before, 13% now (12 of 89 episodes)
- Vibe coding Fading11% before, 2% now (2 of 89 episodes)
- SaaS No clear trend19% before, 11% now (10 of 89 episodes)
- Waymo No clear trend7% before, 2% now (2 of 89 episodes)
- Claude Code No clear trend8% before, 3% now (3 of 89 episodes)
Who said it first
Shows in the same week are tied, and a later show may be reacting to the same news.
Astra. First heard in our archive, counting any mention: the week ending Sep 6, on All-In Podcast, Dwarkesh Podcast, How I AI, Lenny's Podcast and TBPN. 20VC with Harry Stebbings and Odd Lots each first said it 1 week later. 1 more show first said it within 3 weeks of the first.
Predictions due next
Specific calls about the future, in the speaker's own words. Most have a deadline, and we grade each one against the evidence once the outcome is clear.
About these numbers. Transcripts are automatic captions, and the counts cover the shows we summarize, not every podcast. Trend numbers are plain counts. For predictions, a model writes a one-line summary from the speaker's exact words, and code checks those words against the transcript. The predictions page shows the words beside each call. Each page says how it was counted. The data is open: trends (JSON, CSV) and predictions (JSON).